The Survival Gauge

CH
Posts: 405
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2007 8:31 pm
Location: Aldershot
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by CH » Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:32 pm

We'll be relegated before the tour of duty.

Hartlepool at home is my prediction

Disturbed Postie
Posts: 2509
Joined: Sat Mar 12, 2016 8:42 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Disturbed Postie » Sat Feb 09, 2019 8:00 pm

Not over till it’s over but you never know, if you lay the perfect snooker 🎱 and all that blah

Lazio
Posts: 237
Joined: Tue Jun 21, 2011 12:42 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Lazio » Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:20 pm

Disturbed Postie wrote:
Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:21 pm
Truro away opening day sounds nice 👍
Sounds good DP may well join you for that weekend.

Birdman
Posts: 1608
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 9:47 am
Location: Aldershot
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Birdman » Sun Feb 10, 2019 7:12 pm

Lazio wrote:
Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:20 pm
Disturbed Postie wrote:
Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:21 pm
Truro away opening day sounds nice 👍
Sounds good DP may well join you for that weekend.
Nah, Truro will be our Boxing Day/NYD fixtures. 😃

Mick Earls Fan Club
Posts: 390
Joined: Sun Mar 16, 2008 11:54 am
Location: Elvetham Heath , Fleet
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Mick Earls Fan Club » Mon Feb 11, 2019 8:12 am

After 32 games last season Woking were 14th on 42 points.
Ended up with 48 points.

MikeB
Posts: 151
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 2:04 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by MikeB » Mon Feb 11, 2019 7:33 pm

Ian Rust wrote:
Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:09 pm
Mike B - You are correct, but what a stupid thing to say given that this is a GAUGE, not a prediction chart!

That's like the Doctor telling you that you have a cancer where 40% of sufferers will still be alive after 5 years and you telling him he's talking rubbish because you could live another 10 years or be dead next week.
Read the first sentence of your original post, Rusty. You are talking as if there is some pre-determined number of games that we need to win. I was explaining that this is fallacious. And I understand the concept of hospital consultants explaining risk factors all too well, thanks very much.

You call this thing whatever noun you like - a GAUGE, a prediction chart, or a Spacehopper, and I will reluctantly refrain from making up my own noun to describe it.

Brooklands Shot
Posts: 49
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 3:06 pm
Location: Sunny Taunton
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Brooklands Shot » Tue Feb 12, 2019 7:53 am

Birdman wrote:
Sun Feb 10, 2019 7:12 pm
Lazio wrote:
Sun Feb 10, 2019 6:20 pm
Disturbed Postie wrote:
Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:21 pm
Truro away opening day sounds nice 👍
Sounds good DP may well join you for that weekend.
Nah, Truro will be our Boxing Day/NYD fixtures. 😃
Taunton are looking strong for promotion to Conf South. All will be welcome to the "Home Of Cider". Better book an extra day off to recover :shock:

Ian Rust
Posts: 121
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 10:23 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Ian Rust » Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:29 pm

So, we now go to Halifax needing 6 wins from our remaining 14 games to survive.

It’s still possible - P14 W6 D1 L7 would definitely keep us up.

But, it’s looking a remote chance now. Games are slipping away.

Oliver11
Posts: 579
Joined: Sat Sep 16, 2017 7:22 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Oliver11 » Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:33 pm

Ian Rust wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:29 pm
So, we now go to Halifax needing 6 wins from our remaining 14 games to survive.

It’s still possible - P14 W6 D1 L7 would definitely keep us up.

But, it’s looking a remote chance now. Games are slipping away.

I really don't know how to comment on that post.....

Birdman
Posts: 1608
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 9:47 am
Location: Aldershot
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Birdman » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:18 pm

Oliver11 wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:33 pm
Ian Rust wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:29 pm
So, we now go to Halifax needing 6 wins from our remaining 14 games to survive.

It’s still possible - P14 W6 D1 L7 would definitely keep us up.

But, it’s looking a remote chance now. Games are slipping away.

I really don't know how to comment on that post.....
It's not compulsory to do so.

CH
Posts: 405
Joined: Tue Jan 09, 2007 8:31 pm
Location: Aldershot
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by CH » Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:16 pm

Winning 6 games :D

MikeB
Posts: 151
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 2:04 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by MikeB » Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:57 pm

Birdman wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:18 pm
Oliver11 wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:33 pm
Ian Rust wrote:
Tue Feb 12, 2019 9:29 pm
So, we now go to Halifax needing 6 wins from our remaining 14 games to survive.

It’s still possible - P14 W6 D1 L7 would definitely keep us up.

But, it’s looking a remote chance now. Games are slipping away.

I really don't know how to comment on that post.....
It's not compulsory to do so.
Indeed it isn't. And I know it is far, far better not to.

But when you have studied probability and statistics to degree level, it is hard not to comment when you see someone coming up with a statement like "6 wins and 1 draw will definitely keep us up", while displaying some random numbers in a table, and then claiming that anyone who queries this is stupid because it's a GAUGE not a prediction chart.

Ian Rust
Posts: 121
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 10:23 pm
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Ian Rust » Sun Feb 17, 2019 8:46 am

I’m afraid it’s 6 wins required from only 13 games now.
Seriously depressing folks.
I can’t think of anything to say to put a positive spin on it.

sgibbs
Posts: 85
Joined: Wed Jan 10, 2007 1:53 pm
Location: Aldershot
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by sgibbs » Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:25 am

Ian Rust wrote:
Sun Feb 17, 2019 8:46 am
I’m afraid it’s 6 wins required from only 13 games now.
Seriously depressing folks.
I can’t think of anything to say to put a positive spin on it.
Nothing is definite. There's not a defined finishing line because we don't know how many points other teams are going to get.

But yes, I fear we will fall well short of anybody's targets, fanciful or otherwise.

Preston Shot
Posts: 275
Joined: Tue Jul 24, 2018 10:23 am
Re: The Survival Gauge

Post by Preston Shot » Sun Feb 17, 2019 10:59 am

There is no survival gauge
The club is down, if only they gambled on a change of manager in January and things could of been so different.
Now we will never know.
On a positive next season can’t possibly be any worse and things will hopefully improve.


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